Tuesday, April 21, 2009

BOR: Highlights of RBI Annual Policy 2009-10

Highlights of Reserve Bank of India's Annual Policy Statement for financial year 2009-10 (Apr-Mar):

KEY MEASURES

* Repo Rate cut 25bps to 4.75%, effective immediately.

* Reverse Repo Rate cut 25bps to 3.25% immediate effect.

* CRR kept unchanged at 5.0%.

* Accounting method of savings bank interest rate to be changed from Apr 2010.

* Interest payment on savings bk accounts to be calculated daily product basis.

* Working group to suggest changes for BPLR system.

* Working group on BPLR system to submit report end-Aug.

* To launch exchange traded rate futures contract soon

* Extends special refinance facility to banks till March 2010.

* Extends special 14-day repo facility to banks till March 2010.

* To conduct special 14-day term repo weekly basis.

* RBI to announce first quarter review of monetary policy on Jul 28.

STANCE

* FY10 GDP growth projected at 6.0%.

* FY10 inflation projected at 4.0% by end March.

* FY10 credit growth projected at 20.0%.

* FY10 deposit growth projected at 18.0%.

* Banks with strong deposit base should aim loan growth over 20%.

* FY10 money supply growth projected at 17.0%.

* Deposit, loan rate higher vs 2004-07 but policy rates lower.

* Ensuring conducive rate condition key policy challenge.

* To ensure policy regime conducive to credit growth, quality.

* To maintain rate regime conducive to financial, price stability.

* Will continue to maintain vigil on global, local development.

* Steps taken since Sep aimed to mitigate global crisis impact.

* Stance conditioned to halt growth fall, keep financial stability.

* Will maintain conditions conducive for financial stability.

* Policy thrust to maintain adequate rupee, dollar liquidity.

* Policy thrust to also maintain market conducive to loan growth.

* External finance conditions to remain tight.

* Committed to provide ample liquidity on continuous basis.

* Global econ outlook remains uncertain and unsettled.

* Need to address several immediate challenges facing economy.

* Meeting industry credit needs second policy challenge.

* Loan growth fall reflects demand fall, inventory drawdown.

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INFLATION

* Inflation risks have "clearly abated".

* WPI inflation seen negative for short period.

* Will see all inflation indices to anchor expectations.

* Endeavour to anchor inflation, inflation expectation.

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GOVERNMENT BORROWING

* Have managed government market borrowing FY09 in orderly manner.

* To manage govt market borrow in non-disruptive way is a major challenge.

* Large govt borrow "militates" against low rate environment.

* Will use policy plus debt management tools to manage govt borrowing.

* H1 OMO buy, MSS unwind equals 3 percentage points CRR cut.

* Planned OMO buy, MSS unwind H1 FY10 to add 1.20 trln rupees liquidity.

* Challenge to unwind fiscal stimulus, return to consolidation

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LIQUIDITY

* Need to withdraw liquidity once economy regains momentum.

* Fall in rates across tenures and markets are not uniform.

* Steps since Sep boosted liquidity to 4.22 trln rupees.

* Liquidity situation improved "significantly".

* Overnight rates have softened "considerably".

* MFs' liquidity problems have eased considerably.

* Multiple policy, prudential tools aided liquidity mgmt

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GROWTH

* Upturn in growth momentum FY10 unlikely as global demand down.

* India growth prospects remain favorable vs other economies.

* Supporting drivers of demand major policy challenge.

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MARKET DEVELOPMENT

* Exchange traded rate futures contract to be based on 10-yr g-sec.

* Structure for pricing floating rate bonds revised.

* CONTEXT: Earlier FRB pricing linked to 364-day T-bill cut-off yields.

* FRB auction to be conducted on price-based method vs spread-based earlier.

* FRB base yield to be linked to 182-day T-bill cut-offs at auctions.

* Revised issuance structure built into NDS-OM auction format.

* New FRB issuance will be in terms of revised issuance structure.

* CCIL developing the revised issuance structure of FRBs.

* RBI panel for no bidding in physical form in G-sec auction

* One consolidated bid by PDs/banks in gilt auction in non-competitive bidding.

* Consolidated non-competitive bid to be implemented post notification change.

* Central govt WMA limit 200 bln rupees in first half 2009-10.

* Central govt WMA limit 100 bln rupees in second half 2009-10.

* State WMA limit at 99.25 bln rupees FY10.

* To launch STRIPS in FY10.

* To place draft norms on STRIPS process by end-May.

* To issue revised norms on repo accounting on basis of RBI draft norms.

* Revised repo accounting norms to be implemented from April 2010.

* Multi nodal settlement system facility extended to insurance, pension funds.

* CONTEXT: Multi nodal system was for MFs to participate in gilt tenders.

* 13 members participating in non-guaranteed OTC trades in rate derivatives.

* To OK clearing houses to have transitory pooling acct with RBI in corp bonds.

* Transitory pooling acct with RBI to help real time settlement of corp bonds.

* Extends ECB relaxation for all-in-cost limit to December.

* Relaxes FCCB buyback policy for cos

* Cos can buy back out of internal accruals $100 mln of redemption vs $50 mln

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BANKING

* BPLR lost relevance as most loans below BPLR.

* Sub-BPLR loan system makes loan pricing "non-transparent"

* To identify with SEBI macro-prudential concerns of MFs

* To review export credit refinance limit in Mar 2010

* Hikes limit on loans to NRI against deposits to 10 mln rupees vs 0.2 mln.

* Banks should not be "overly apprehensive" over small savings.

* Banks deposits, small savings are no prefect substitute.

* To ask MSE advisory panel to review Credit Guarantee Scheme.

* Allows banks to set up offsite ATMs without prior nod.

* To form group for better branch authorisation policy

* Uncertainties about fincl strength exits among global banks.

* Current norm of foreign banks presence in India stay

* Foreign banks presence in India norm to be reviewed later.

* To issue norms on banks' floating provisions later.

* Banks need to integrate FX assets, liabilities in branches.

* RBI to form draft norm on integrating liquidity risk mgmt of banks.

* Draft norm on integrating liquidity risk mgmt by Jun 15.

* Banks have been slow in rate cuts as deposit cost high.

* There is room for more deposit rate cuts.

* Changes risk exposure to counterparty contracts.

* Defers 12% CAR implementation of some NBFCs to Mar 31, 2010.

* Defers 15% CAR implementation of some NBFCs to Mar 31, 2011.

* Issue paper on bks floating, managing pvt capital pool by Sep.


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